Today, the United States mourns the losses of 9/11 victims as efforts to defund the police, homeland security, and the military are being vigorously pursued by protestors in the streets and in the back-rooms of government. Key Democrat-run cities are fast becoming terror hot-spots for radicalized groups claiming territory, setting up new laws, and subjecting US citizens to violent unrest. This Line of Effort combined with a Biden presidential campaign promise to enforce a policy to buyback legally owned assault rifles clearly outlines a DDR campaign to disarm and demobilize both American citizens and the official government of the United States. As it stands now, the country is being divided into Zones of Influence throughout the internet space and the physical realm where the rule of law is being tested.
What is a DDR campaign?
DDR stands for Disarmament Demobilization Reintegration. The historic applications of DDR first originated as post-conflict efforts to build peace by allowing armed combatants to turn over their weapons and rejoin society upon such proceedings as the signing of cease-fire agreements and other conflict terminating settlements. It was also designed to reintegrate ex-combatants into the local economy through education, training, and employment efforts. In recent years DDR has undergone a third shift since the Cold War allowing for the surrender of weapons to begin while armed combatants are still active. Usually with funding provided by the United Nations and implementation by the host nation, DDR programs exist throughout the terror afflicted Middle East and African continents.
A recent study from Eidgenössische Technische Hochschule Zürich found that “monetization of DDR is creating a cottage industry for former fighters traveling across international borders rejoining armed groups as mercenaries.” The study also warned that “the dilemma of perceiving DDR and CVE [Countering Violent Extremism] through a narrow socio-economic lens… ignores the dynamics of well-educated and middle-income youth becoming radicalized and joining highly asymmetric and terrorist groups… which occurs in Europe and the United States.” Rand Corporation recently reported in a study that “America’s jihadists are made in the United States.” The study found that America’s jihadists do not reflect an immigration problem,” because “among foreign-born travelers, most arrived in the United States as children and spent roughly the same number of years there between their arrival and their attempt to join the jihad.”
From Ferguson to Palestine
A power player among the ACLU is American university professor, Marc Lamont Hill, aDistinguished Professor of African American Studies at Morehouse College who has also been employed at Columbia University and Temple University. Recently, the professor traveled abroad and stated that, “we came to Palestine to stand in love and revolutionary struggle… to a land that has been stolen by greed and destroyed by hate… and we resist the occupation… from Ferguson to Palestine, the struggle for freedom continues.” The ideologies of Marxism and radical Islam first fused in the Middle East during the 20th century. The BLM movement embodies that voice on American soil.
Heritage Foundation reported “watching all the usual progressive Big Money Boys pour resources into the Black Lives Matter network, the ACLU… wants to abolish the Department of Homeland Security.” Articles also confirm interests to Defund the Department of Defense. BLM and its affiliates recently raised over $1b that shows the potential for spending on armed conflict. Bloomberg reported that “Kamala Harris… supports a mandatory buyback of military-style assault weapons.” Upon receiving push-back, a propaganda piece from misbar.com attempted to perform damage control by re-stating that the vice presidential candidate said, “upon being elected, I will give the US Congress 100 days to… pass reasonable gun safety laws. And if they fail to do it, I will take executive action” to buyback weapons.
The ACLU’s mobilization campaign is shaping up to provide freedom of movement for armed radical revolutionaries on the streets of the United States alongside government efforts to purge US citizens of their right to bear arms. In most official DDR campaigns implemented abroad, ex-combatants disarm on a volunteer basis. Many DDR programs fail because the removal of arms from one group while other factions remain provisioned often triggers a return to hostilities. The campaign promise by Harris guarantees a mandatory action not a volunteer effort that risks leaving many law-abiding US citizens at risk of harm by radicals during this time of crisis. Wave upon wave of violent protests causing private property damage to restaurants, shops, small businesses, and public spaces carried out with assaults on civilians are pushing boundaries of both society and law enforcement.
Generally, DDR programs apply to insurgent forces, but here in the US the Defund Movement migrates these tactics and applies them to national law enforcement to delegitimize their authority and break down morale. Psychologically, the buyback campaign is not only an attack on the constitutional right to carry, but on citizenship that guarantees access to other constitutional rights. This is because participants in DDR programs overseas are usually detained voluntarily in camps or held as criminals.
This Land is Our Land
The struggle also continues online. A warning of cyberattacks was printed in 2018 in the book, The Nano Age of Digital Immunity Infrastructure Fundamentals and Applications: The Intelligent Cyber Shield for Smart Cities 1st Edition. The author, Rocky Termanini, warned that some technologies using the Internet of Things were speeding through commercialization ahead of the cyber security industry’s ability to mitigate threat. The pandemic created a perfect storm of on-boarding new users while cyberattacks were being carried out on everything from ships at sea heading for US coasts to hospitals confronting the challenges of COVID-19. Many cyberattacks have come in the form of DDoS attacks carried out by “the dragon ninjas of the Internet.” “When a high rise building implodes, it brings all the floors, one after another, to the ground. DDoS is a violent cyber implosion that brings any computing infrastructure down,” explains Termanini eerily describing a cyber 9/11 scenario.
New Lines of Effort are needed to strengthen homeland security, heal the wounded, and insulate the economy from conflict and degradation. New technologies and strategic partnerships can help streamline these efforts and maximize success while pooling resources. Established businesses and emerging companies working in line with security efforts can help stabilize the environment, targeting the tools and critical nodes currently being exploited.
Iran is now threatening to pull out of some of its commitments under the nuclear deal with remaining participants in Europe and China and has increased nuclear weapons programming. Iran supported rocket attacks from Hamas and the Palestinian Islamic Jihad came on Israel over the weekend causing the USS Abraham Lincoln Carrier Strike Group to be deployed. The US European Command (US EUCOM) provided Israel its Terminal High Altitude Area Defense (THAAD) system with a team of 250 soldiers in March. The Iranian leadership is hoping again that its nuclear weapons program will give them leverage for US sanctions relief. The US has responding with bold statements ready to defend the US and American interests in all areas where Iran is active and may attack US forces and allies.
The Iranian regime is risking scuttling any support they might maintain with Europe. Britain’s Prime Minister Theresa May said, ““We are extremely concerned about this announcement and urge Iran to continue to meet its commitments under the deal.” The JCPOA however does not specify adequate conflict resolution procedures leaving international disputes unlikely to be resolved using that agreement. Parties will likely have to negotiate a new deal, and Iran is not likely to be with rewarded such handsome trade terms after deliberately amplifying their belligerence in the region and against their own people. Iranians suffering under this regime continue to push for a change in leadership. The Islamic Republic could be entering into its final days. The would completely change the power distribution in the Middle East and stabilize a long tormented region in desperate need of calm to rebuild in Syria and conclude hostilities in Yemen where genocide and famine have taken claim to much of the population.
The history of Iran and particularly the Iranian clergy shows an over-dependence on terror. Most countries in the region throughout the 20th century have struggled to build modern armies. Iran’s military under the shah became a formidable force the legacy of which the Islamic regime has built upon. However, terror networks continue to perform the more successful operations having stronger ideology, better funding through transnational crime, borderless recruiting, and cooperation with other criminal organizations. As long as these operations continue intimidate others, Iran will continue to support them and utilize their asymmetric tactics in place of conventional warfare. With North Korea now denuclearizing with Russian President Putin’s assistance, Iran’s remaining friends are taking the country further away from their larger goals such as joining the World Trade Organization in China’s footsteps. These setbacks will continue cost the regime support at home, a crucial asset or liability in the escalation of military tensions.
While the future of U.S. foreign policy and worldwide military involvement in the long-run may seem obscure and uncertain, if you know where and what to look for, you may be able to foresee the future as far as ten to twenty years ahead. Look no further than LOGCAP V, otherwise known as Logistics Civilian Augmentation Program-Phase 5, the U.S. government’s next multi-billion dollar contract award plan to get the military where it needs to go. If you follow these precursors, you can draw a pretty accurate picture of future U.S. involvement in the world. The way we look ahead is by figuring out where the federal government plans to spend the right amount of resources, then draw conclusions and perform analysis as to why.
Understanding how the government operates, what it’s long-term objectives are and how decisions are made requires a unique insight one only gets from having been inside the system itself. After multiple delays since 2018, the results of the fifth phase was finally announced in April 2019, to the tune of $82 billion over the next decade. The U.S. Army Sustainment Command, headquartered in Rock Island Armory, Illinois oversees the LOGCAP program and awarded 3 of the 7 contracts to longtime contracting partner KBRwyle. Their history goes back to the early days of Operation Desert Storm and their engagement peaked in 2003 at the dawn of Operation Iraqi Freedom during LOGCAP III. The latter program mobilized the largest civilian workforce into warzones in Iraq and Afghanistan.
Awarded to KBR as a no-bid, cost-plus contract from the Bush administration, it was said that KBR received the contract because it was the only company large enough to handle a project of such unprecedented magnitude. Many argued that Vice President Dick Cheney’s company received the contract exclusively due to his connection to the company as Chief Executive. At any rate, LOGCAP’s 4th phase brought about change. With the Obama administration now in office, increased government oversight and competition were introduced. This opened the platform for companies such as DynCorp, CACI, TITAN and Flour Daniels to get involved.
“LOGCAP V contracts will be capped at $82 billion spanning 10 years, said Jerome Jastrab, project manager, Acquisition Integration & Management Center, ASC headquarters.”
On October 20, 2017, the U.S. Army Contracting Command announced their intention to issue a Request for Proposal (RFP) for the Logistics Civil Augmentation Program (LOGCAP V) logistical support services in support of the U.S. Military worldwide. The full list of services provided by LOGCAP V includes, but is not limited to:
Setting the Theater
Base Camp Services
Other Logistics and Sustainment Support Services
Welfare and Recreation Services
The U.S. Government (USG) intends to award a minimum of four, and up to six, Indefinite Delivery, Indefinite Quantity (IDIQ) contracts to offerors whose proposals are determined to be the most beneficial to the Government. The LOGCAP V basic IDIQ contracts will consist of an initial five-year ordering period and options for five additional one-year ordering periods.
The estimated maximum dollar amount is $82,000,000,000.00 for all awards for the 10 year contract terms.
By way of context, the previous LOGCAP programs had the following “estimated maximum dollar amount[s]”:
LOGCAP I (1992): $815 million
LOGCAP II (1997): $42 million
LOGCAP III (2001): $38.5 billion
LOGCAP IV (2008): $150 billion
So, while LOGCAP V is slated to be smaller than the LOGCAP IV, the estimated maximum amount awarded remains far more than what was awarded in LOGCAPs I – III combined. The current breakdown for the LOGCAP V award is as follows:
PAE-Parsons Global Logistics Services, LLC is one of the award recipients and is hereby awarded Basic Contract W52P1J-19-D-0047 and the following task orders.
– SOUTHCOM Setting the Theater Task Order and associated Performance Task Order: $34,596,500.37
Fluor Intercontinental, Inc. is one of the award recipients and is hereby awarded Basic Contract W52P1J-19-D-0046 and the following task orders.
– AFRICOM Setting the Theater Task Order and associated Performance Task Order: $137,222,537.90
Vectrus Systems Corporation is one of the award recipients and is hereby awarded Basic Contract W52P1J-19-D-0045 and the following task orders.
– PACOM Setting the Theater Task Order and associated Performance Task Order: $349,187,574.26
– CENTCOM Setting the Theater Task Order and associated Performance Task Order: $1,033,582,366.79
Kellogg Brown & Root Services, Inc. is one of the award recipients and is hereby awarded Basic Contract W52P1J-19-D-0044 and the following task orders.
– EUCOM Setting the Theater Task Order and associated Performance Task Order: $183,304,831.67
– NORTHCOM Setting the Theater Task Order and associated Performance Task Order: $393,988,697.66
As predicted, companies who responded to the government’s Request For Proposal but did not receive an award began a protest, leading with contracting giant DynCorp, who filed the protest on the morning of April 25, 2019. It is unlikely that the proceedings will have any bearing on the outcome as the approval process goes through multiple phases and redundancies before a decision is reached. The projected transition date for LOGCAP V is September 2019.
The interesting allocation of funds to Afghanistan shows that the United States plans to maintain a presence there for at least another decade, even if only in an advisory role. While the Trump Administration has stated that the United States has no interest in fighting needless, long-term wars, the earmarking of $1.3 billion shows different plans to keep the region stable.
NORTHCOM and PACOM are support roles with similar budgets, asserting that they will have similar program life spans. EUROCOM is essentially a staging ground for the Middle East operations in order to push assets through Iraq, Afghanistan and until recently, Syria. In addition to this, a U.S. military presence also serves as a deterrent from Russian aggression toward Eastern Europe.
SOUTHCOM, which includes South America, is a curious bag, in that it received an inconspicuous $35 Million award designated to PAE-Parsons, a relatively new contractor whose strategic acquisition prior to the Request For Proposal allowed for this win. Since this is a Setting The Theater contract, it leads one to wonder how many bases and where are projected. A safe bet would be in Columbia near the Venezuelan border, possibly 2-3 small bases. The signals for military intervention in Venezuela are pretty clear, and this contract award solidifies it.
With ISIS nearly destroyed, the terrorist organization had no choice but to move outside the region. Flour Intercontinental received a sizable contract award for AFRICOM which is where most of the ISIS ‘fighters’ have fled. The $138 Million investment shows a solid level of U.S. commitment in the region for both humanitarian and military operations.
Given that these earmarks represent only a fraction of the $82B budget, there is good indication these Setting the Theater contracts will likely endure and transition into Operations & Maintenance contracts in the future.
Iran’s foreign minister, Mohammad Javad Zarif, in New York for a meeting at the United Nations has invited President Trump to swap prisoners. Secretary Pompeo announced earlier this week that the U.S. will not allow further exemptions for its trade partners like South Korea and Singapore to purchase Iran’s oil exports. Now that Iran’s government is facing the full impact of sanctions, it wants to talk prisoner exchange. The nuclear agreement under the Obama administration saw the release of prisoners and frozen assets along with delisting a large number of companies for previous sanctions violations including airlines, freight companies, and banks among others. Under the Trump administration, U.S. intelligence communities are undergoing some much-needed house-keeping concerning Iranian influence. It is unclear how many are detained between the two countries.
IRGC Floods Residents of Ahwaz
International human rights attorney, Irina Tsukerman, based in New York says the IRGC is once again violating human rights in Iran regarding recent flooding. To save oil facilities leased to China operated by IRGC, the waters were diverted to the province of Ahwaz. “Videos and reports documenting the regime’s deliberate policy of changing the floodwaters’ course so that they would submerge residential areas and farmlands, causing a humanitarian catastrophe, rather than letting the waters run along the river beds to the delta area where oil and gas rigs and refineries are located” according to DUSC have inspired outrage. Tsukerman says the events also represent a land grab in the province by the Iranian regime which has already displaced some 300,000 people. “It claims to have moved them to more secure locations; however, it is obvious that given the deliberate nature of the flooding the scheme was to deprive the Ahwazis of their land and to depopulate Ahwazi lands,” stated Tsukerman.
The IRGC is defending with tanks, heavy artillery, troops, and militia the berms and barriers securing the oil fields. The leasing of such properties to China [China also has significant leases for fishing in the Gulf.] is one of the Iran regime’s tactics to secure protection from the Chinese military protection should an invasion occur. It enables the IRGC and Iran backed militias to be more aggressive in the region, and against Israel, Saudi Arabia, the UAE, and the U.S. globally.
The media black-out in Iran and absence of coverage internationally is part of the liberal establishment media despite claims that they stand for human rights to regain power in 2020. This is at the expense of the Iranian people and global stability. It will not stand. The Iranian people are not alone.
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu enters his 5th term after securing victory in the Israeli elections promising to establish a government quickly. Likud, United Torah Judaism, Shas, Yisrael Beiteinu, Right-wing Union and Kulanu- right-wing parties were elected into the Knesset; and Kahol Lavan, Hadash-Ta’al, Labor, Meretz and United Arab List-Balad- left wing parties were elected into the Knesset. Netanyahu has become the longest serving Prime Minister in the State’s history. Iran’s president criticized the election turn-out as meaningless.
Just before the Israeli election the Trump administration announced a long debated issue and the decision to designate the IRGC as a terrorist organization. This hit the guards with immediate sanctions targeting a number of segments in the Iranian economy, illicit trafficking, and global operations. Iran responded in kind by designating CENTCOM, Central Command, a terrorist organization. In a statement that came as no surprise from Secretary of State Mike Pompeo, Iran’s long history of sponsoring terror has led to this decision and it has been in the works for years. This action also targets the leader of the IRGC, Qasem Soleimani personally for his involvement in multiple terrorist attacks on American troops in the Middle East. While many, including Iran’s regime claim this designation was in fact a gift to Israel in the wake of its elections, Secretary Pompeo stated that “it happened today because today was the day we were ready to make the announcement.” It is the first time the United States labeled another nation’s military this way.
A recent IRGC Naval drill involved drone strikes using technology back engineered from a captured UAV, the US’ RQ-170 Sentinel. Russian and Iranian propaganda news Sputnik and Mehr News reported on the drills boasting the largest operation of its kind. IRGC claims the drones can hit targets up to 1,000 kilometers. Sanctions on the IRGC will hit their global oil exports, oil production, and hamper their ability to provide assistance to foreign militia groups and terrorist organizations they are currently supporting in Yemen, Palestine, African and Latin American countries. Iran exploits Turkey to funnel terrorists into the EU through a 2016 agreement designed to relocate refugees in Turkey in exchange for open borders between Turkey and EU countries. The IRGC is one Hezbollah’s primary supporters. Hezbollah operates two bases out of Germany in which Chancellor Angela Merkel refuses to shut down. In Bremen, the Al-Mustafa Center raises funds for Hezbollah and another in the city of Münster in North Rhine-Westphalia. The German government announced at the end of this year it will pull public funding from the anti-Jewish organization, The Islamic Community of Shi’ite Communities of Germany, a a radical pro-Iranian-regime establishment.
Meanwhile Iran Supreme Leader Khamenei reports to be staying in the nuclear agreement “hoping to wait out US President Donald Trump and then achieve a better diplomatic and economic position if a new US president is elected” according to JPost sources. Sanctions on the IRGC will introduce new evidence and financial assets into terrorism litigation many of which have reached the Supreme Court level. However, Iran’s regime has taken to providing substantial funding to universities in the U.S. to conduct legal research to defend its banks and other long arms of its regime. At Harvard, first year law students are invited to participate in terrorism litigation research on behalf of programs sympathetic to the Islamic Regime where prominent children of Iran’s regime attend and gather intel. Internationally, universities have been used as propaganda centers and radicalization hotbeds to recruit students and use the influence of the university to push policy agendas. At Harvard, this has triggered social and political clashes between student groups and between students and pro-regime faculty pressuring students to conform to pro-regime ideology and socio-political efforts according to confidential sources. This means that universities have opened themselves up to potential sanctions in the future.
When will Europe learn that helping Iran skirt sanctions will not reward them with economic gains nor the security they seek. President Rouhani is threatening Europe with floods of migrants to their borders and drugs. It’s called narcoterrorism and Iran is a major chemical producer of heroin from poppies grown in Iran, Afghanistan, and elsewhere in the region.
The trafficking in narcotics from Iran runs to Eastern Europe through Turkey and also includes human slave trade and arms smuggling. Though this drug war began in Afghanistan by the US efforts in the Cold War after the Soviet invasion of Afghanistan to compromise the Soviet Union. Today it is considered effective narco-terrorism by Iran and its allies to shift the drug flows west to destabilize western society. The US military and intelligence refers to this as blowback.
It is not a coincidence that rivers of heroin and other narcotics are invading western countries at the same time corrupt officials want to legalize drug use under the banner that sales can be regulated. This would simply be another service to sponsors of narco-terrorism and effectively turn these and other drug cartels into wholesalers to attack western states from within.
While conflicts and economic ruin are sending millions of migrants towards safer places in Europe and the US, loose border policies have been exploited and have enabled this blowback to reach maturity. The mainstream media is blaming this move by Iran to be the result of US sanctions on Iran, but this covert war has long preceded sanctions.
Europe is incurring tremendous expense in the efforts to stop migration from Africa and the Middle East including people escaping Iran, and these examples are chief reasons for the tougher border policies in the US and greater expenses by Congress to more quickly process legitimate asylum seekers amidst migration attacks.
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